BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Alfred St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 243 Conference: Division III Independents Record: (1-0) Overall: (1-8) Overall Strength = 17.89
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Away L 18.97 13 43 3 165 ( 2- 8) William Paterson -3.15 -26.85
2 09/10/2016 Home L 22.13 0 49 3 49 ( 7- 4) Brockport St 0.02 * -49.02
3 09/17/2016 Home L 11.69 27 55 3 204 ( 1- 8) Rochester -10.43 -17.57
4 09/24/2016 Away L 29.37 0 35 3 85 ( 8- 2) Husson 7.25 * -42.25
5 10/01/2016 Home L 25.02 8 24 OT 1 ( 4- 3) Apprentice 2.91 -18.91
6 10/15/2016 Home L 34.32 0 27 3 90 ( 5- 5) Buffalo St 12.21 * -39.21
7 10/29/2016 Home L 23.77 7 52 2 145 ( 3- 8) Kentucky Wesleyan 1.65 * -46.65
8 11/05/2016 Away W * 22.98 21 7 3 245 ( 2- 6) Maranatha Baptist 0.86 13.14
9 11/12/2016 Away L 10.78 20 62 3 156 ( 1- 9) Morrisville St -11.33 -30.67
Averages 22.11 10.7 39.3
Best game: 34.32 = 27 point loss to Buffalo St
Worst game: 10.78 = 42 point loss to Morrisville St
Team stdev: 7.59